Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday


	Denis Shapovalov		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	1.48	2.6
	1.5	2.6
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)	2.6 ↓ (2.87)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
63.6%

Cameron Norrie
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cameron Norrie, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Denis Shapovalov - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Norrie will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 32. Norrie is ranked ATP: 59.

Shapovalov in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Norrie is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Norrie could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shapovalov will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Shapovalov to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Dallas
09.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWWW
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Acapulco
24.02.25	Learner Tien - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.25	Cameron Norrie - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
10.02.25	Zachary Svajda - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
06.02.25	Reilly Opelka - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP San Diego
01.10.21	Denis Shapovalov - Cameron Norrie	0:2
ATP London
19.06.21	Cameron Norrie - Denis Shapovalov	2:0

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