Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Learner Tien		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.81	2.11
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.73	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)	2.09 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
54.5%

Cameron Norrie
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.2%	0%	37.8%

Learner Tien - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 28 - 62.2%). Norrie will win (votes: 17 - 37.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 48% – 76.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Learner Tien will win (17 of 22 users predict this - 77.27%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 36. Norrie is ranked ATP: 33.

Tien is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Norrie's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Norrie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tien won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Learner Tien - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
01.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev	Medvedev D. retired ✺
29.09.25	Learner Tien - Lorenzo Musetti	Musetti L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWL??
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Daniil Medvedev - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
17.09.25	Cameron Norrie - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
24.02.25	Learner Tien - Cameron Norrie	2:0
ATP Hong Kong
30.12.24	Cameron Norrie - Learner Tien	2:0

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