Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dallas (USA), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Denis Shapovalov		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.1	1.65
	2.17	1.77
	2.13	1.71	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.12	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.48)	1.7 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
44.4%

Tomas Machac
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Shapovalov's performance.

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tomas Machac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Shapovalov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tomas Machac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Denis Shapovalov - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Machac will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Dallas
06.02.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.25	Denis Shapovalov - Lorenzo Musetti	0:3 ✺
14.01.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Denis Shapovalov	1:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
07.01.25	Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWL
- Tomas Machac
ATP Dallas
06.02.25	Rinky Hijikata - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Kei Nishikori - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Tomas Machac - Gerard Campana Lee	Canceled ✺
31.01.25	Tomas Machac - Soon Woo Kwon	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Novak Djokovic - Tomas Machac	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WW?WL

Denis Shapovalov - Tomas Machac: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide