Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: PARIS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2022, Tuesday


	Denis Shapovalov		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.28	3.75	Watch
	1.22	4.1
	1.25	4
	1.2	4.2
	1.23	4.64
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.19	4.7	Watch
	1.22	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.42)	4.26 ↑ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
77.7%

Francisco Cerundolo
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Shapovalov's performance.

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francisco Cerundolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Shapovalov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisco Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.6%	0%	9.4%

Denis Shapovalov - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Denis Shapovalov will win (48 of 53 users predict this - 90.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.7% – 98.44%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shapovalov is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Vienna
30.10.22	Daniil Medvedev - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
29.10.22	Denis Shapovalov - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
28.10.22	Daniel Evans - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
26.10.22	Denis Shapovalov - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
25.10.22	Jurij Rodionov - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Vienna
27.10.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
24.10.22	Filip Misolic - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
20.10.22	Dominic Thiem - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
18.10.22	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Gijon
14.10.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL

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