Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Francisco Cerundolo		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	2.95	1.41
	2.9	1.38
	3.18	1.41
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.2	1.37	Watch
	3.05	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.6)	1.39 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
31.4%

Dominic Thiem
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Dominic Thiem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Francisco Cerundolo - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: Dominic Thiem will win (40 of 45 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 98.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Thiem is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Thiem is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Gijon
13.10.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
03.10.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
17.09.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
16.09.22	Jannik Sinner - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Andy Murray	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Gijon
12.10.22	Dominic Thiem - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
10.10.22	Dominic Thiem - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Tel Aviv
28.09.22	Dominic Thiem - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
26.09.22	Dominic Thiem - Laslo Djere	2:1 ✺
ATP Metz
22.09.22	Dominic Thiem - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

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