Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Denis Shapovalov		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.96	1.82	Watch
	1.99	1.9
	2	1.84	Watch
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	2.02	1.79	Watch
	1.96	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.84)	1.83 ↓ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
47.9%

Juncheng Shang
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.9%	0%	73.1%

Denis Shapovalov - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Shang will win (votes: 18 - 72%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shang: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 92. Shang is ranked ATP: 49.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
02.10.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Sho Shimabukuro	Shimabukuro S. retired ✺
30.09.24	Denis Shapovalov - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.09.24	Alexander Blockx - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LW?WL
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Juncheng Shang - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Juncheng Shang - Bu Yunchaokete	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW

Denis Shapovalov - Juncheng Shang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide