Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Denis Shapovalov		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	1.30	3.50	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.28	3.65	Watch
	1.31	3.3	Watch
	1.34	3.40
	1.34	3.48	Watch
	1.31	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.19)	3.43 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
72.3%

Sho Shimabukuro
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.3%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Shapovalov's form might have worsened.

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sho Shimabukuro's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Denis Shapovalov - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 46., and Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 108..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Shapovalov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Shapovalov is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Shapovalov has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Chengdu
28.09.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Adrian Mannarino - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Vit Kopriva - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Ben Shelton - Denis Shapovalov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Anton Shepp - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	James Watt - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Arthur Rinderknech	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Sho Shimabukuro	Shimabukuro S. retired

Denis Shapovalov - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide