Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu (China), hard - Final

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.79	1.99	Watch
	1.85	2.06
	1.82	2.07	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.15	Watch
	1.79	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.67)	2.04 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
53.2%

Juncheng Shang
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	0%	47.6%

Lorenzo Musetti - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Shang will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 19. Shang is ranked ATP: 55.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Chengdu
23.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
28.08.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLW
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Chengdu
23.09.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Roman Safiullin - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
19.09.24	Juncheng Shang - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.24	Casper Ruud - Juncheng Shang	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

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