Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday


	Denis Shapovalov		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.5	Watch
	1.58	2.54
	1.57	2.39	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.49	Watch
	1.51	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)	2.49 ↑ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
61.8%

Alex Michelsen
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Denis Shapovalov - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Michelsen will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 32. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 34.

Shapovalov in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Michelsen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shapovalov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shapovalov will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Shapovalov to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Cameron Norrie	Canceled ✺
ATP Dallas
09.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 W?WWW
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Alex Michelsen - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
15.02.25	Alex Michelsen - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Cameron Norrie - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	Michael Mmoh - Alex Michelsen	Mmoh M. retired ✺
ATP Dallas
04.02.25	Cameron Norrie - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLW?L

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