Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday


	Denis Shapovalov		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.66	2.19	Watch
	1.66	2.34
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.22	Watch
	1.66	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.9)	2.23 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
57.3%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Shapovalov's performance.

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Bautista-Agut might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Shapovalov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roberto Bautista-Agut could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Denis Shapovalov - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 95. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 45.

Shapovalov is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bautista-Agut is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Shapovalov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Basel
22.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
02.10.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Sho Shimabukuro	Shimabukuro S. retired ✺
30.09.24	Denis Shapovalov - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLW?W
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Basel
23.10.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
ATP Antwerp
20.10.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Hugo Gaston - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
18.10.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
16.10.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
29.07.24	Denis Shapovalov - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.21	Denis Shapovalov - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:0

Denis Shapovalov - Roberto Bautista-Agut: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide