Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Federico Bondioli		Denis Yevseyev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.43	2.9
	1.44	2.57	Watch
	1.44	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.53)	2.65 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Bondioli
64.8%

Denis Yevseyev
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Bondioli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Bondioli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denis Yevseyev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Federico Bondioli - Denis Yevseyev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bondioli is ranked ATP: 322. Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 399.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Yevseyev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bondioli will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Bondioli
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Nerman Fatic - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Daniel Altmaier - Federico Bondioli	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Michele Ribecai - Federico Bondioli	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Sumit Nagal - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Federico Bondioli - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LLWWW
- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
01.04.26	Denis Yevseyev - Sergio Callejon Hernando	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Denis Yevseyev - Sergio Martos Gornes	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Denis Yevseyev - Samuele Pieri	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Denis Yevseyev - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Denis Yevseyev - Filip Pieczonka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL

Federico Bondioli - Denis Yevseyev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide