Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday


	Denis Yevseyev		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.9	1.8
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.67	2.24
	1.66	2.18
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.69	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.94)	2.05 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
54.3%

Yuta Shimizu
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Yevseyev's performance.

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuta Shimizu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Yevseyev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuta Shimizu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Denis Yevseyev - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Yevseyev will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yevseyev: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 256. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 197.

Two players are playing changeable.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Denis Yevseyev - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Denis Yevseyev - Rei Sakamoto	Yevseyev D. retired ✺
21.02.25	Denis Yevseyev - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Philip Henning - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Harry Wendelken - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 L?LWW
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
03.03.25	Aziz Dougaz - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Yuta Shimizu - Christian Langmo	1:2 ✺
04.02.25	Yuta Shimizu - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Yuta Shimizu - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Marek Gengel - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL

Denis Yevseyev - Yuta Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide