Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday


	Jelle Sels		Daniel Rincon

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	3.01	1.4
	2.76	1.43	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.5)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
34.5%

Daniel Rincon
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelle Sels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Rincon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jelle Sels - Daniel Rincon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rincon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sels is ranked ATP: 329. Rincon is ranked ATP: 290.

Sels has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rincon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rincon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rincon might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sels won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Gabriele Piraino - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Raphael Perot - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Mariano Dedura-Palomero - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Jelle Sels - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWWL
- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
23.07.25	Hynek Barton - Daniel Rincon	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Christoph Negritu - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Daniel Rincon - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Daniel Rincon - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.07.24	Daniel Rincon - Jelle Sels	2:1
ITF Tournaments
03.07.22	Daniel Rincon - Jelle Sels	2:1

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