Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia 2 - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday


	Jozef Kovalik		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.82	1.94
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	1.87	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.87)	1.87 (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jozef Kovalik
50.4%

Max Alcala Gurri
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Jozef Kovalik - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcala Gurri (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kovalik is ranked ATP: 576. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 431.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Alcala Gurri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Kalin Ivanovski - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Alex Barrena - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Tom Zeuch - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Jozef Kovalik - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Jozef Kovalik - Antoine Escoffier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
07.08.25	Carlos Taberner - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
04.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Dominik Kellovsky	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Sebastian Dominko	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.07.25	Miguel Damas - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWL

Jozef Kovalik - Max Alcala Gurri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide