Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday


	Paula Badosa		Jessica Pegula

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.44	1.56	Watch
	2.46	1.62
	2.43	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.51	1.54	Watch
	2.44	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.19)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paula Badosa
39.3%

Jessica Pegula
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paula Badosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Paula Badosa - Jessica Pegula Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Badosa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Pegula will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Badosa is ranked WTA: 19. Pegula is ranked WTA: 3.

Now both players are in good shape.

Pegula will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Badosa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Beijing
28.09.24	Paula Badosa - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Paula Badosa - Viktoriya Tomova	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
03.09.24	Paula Badosa - Emma Navarro	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Paula Badosa - Yafan Wang	2:0 ✺
30.08.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW
- Jessica Pegula
WTA Beijing
29.09.24	Veronika Kudermetova - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Diane Parry - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
07.09.24	Jessica Pegula - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Jessica Pegula - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
04.09.24	Iga Swiatek - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
18.08.24	Jessica Pegula - Paula Badosa	2:1
WTA Charleston
07.04.23	Jessica Pegula - Paula Badosa	2:0
WTA Miami
30.03.22	Paula Badosa - Jessica Pegula	Badosa G. P. retired

Paula Badosa - Jessica Pegula: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide