Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Monterrey, hard - Final

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2, Stan Sport
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	DAZN
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Sweden	DAZN
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+


	Diane Parry		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	2.30	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.60
	2.50	1.52
	2.42	1.64
	2.8	1.46	Watch
	2.55	1.55
	2.38	1.58	Watch
	2.29	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.72)	1.57 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diane Parry
39%

Elise Mertens
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diane Parry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diane Parry than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diane Parry that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elise Mertens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Diane Parry - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Parry will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Mertens will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Parry is ranked WTA: 50. Mertens is ranked WTA: 24.

Parry is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mertens's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mertens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mertens is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Parry won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diane Parry
WTA Monterrey
28.08.26	Diane Parry - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Clara Tauson - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Diane Parry - Donna Vekic	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWL
- Elise Mertens
WTA Monterrey
28.08.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
27.08.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Panna Udvardy - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.26	Elise Mertens - Diane Parry	1:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
07.08.26	Elise Mertens - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
15.08.26	Elise Mertens - Diane Parry	1:2
WTA Roland Garros
29.05.19	Elise Mertens - Diane Parry	2:0

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