Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	18:40	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:40	HBO Max
Bulgaria	19:40	HBO Max
Croatia	18:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	18:40	HBO Max
Denmark	18:40	HBO Max
Finland	19:40	HBO Max
France	18:40	HBO Max
Hungary	18:40	HBO Max
Moldova	19:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	18:40	HBO Max
Netherlands	18:40	HBO Max
North Macedonia	18:40	HBO Max
Norway	18:40	HBO Max
Poland	18:40	HBO Max
Romania	19:40	HBO Max
Serbia	18:40	HBO Max
Slovenia	18:40	HBO Max
Spain	18:40	HBO Max
Sweden	18:40	HBO Max


	Diane Parry		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.6	1.28
	3.67	1.26	Watch
	4.04	1.28
	3.66	1.28	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.93	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.52)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diane Parry
25.6%

Marta Kostyuk
74.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.1%

72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diane Parry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diane Parry than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diane Parry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marta Kostyuk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Diane Parry - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Parry will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Kostyuk will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kostyuk: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kostyuk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Parry (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Parry (votes: 1 - 50%). Kostyuk (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Parry is ranked WTA: 107. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 28.

Parry has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kostyuk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Parry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kostyuk is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Parry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diane Parry
WTA US Open
28.08.25	Renata Zarazua - Diane Parry	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Petra Kvitova - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
WTA Monterrey
17.08.25	Lulu Sun - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Amandine Hesse - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Diane Parry - Daria Snigur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA US Open
28.08.25	Zeynep Sonmez - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Katie Boulter - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.25	Iga Swiatek - Marta Kostyuk	Swiatek I. walkover ✺
09.08.25	Tatjana Maria - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
04.08.25	Marta Kostyuk - Elena Rybakina	Kostyuk M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WW?W?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Dubai
13.02.22	Diane Parry - Marta Kostyuk	0:2
WTA Australian Open
16.01.22	Diane Parry - Marta Kostyuk	0:2

Diane Parry - Marta Kostyuk