Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Diane Parry		Sloane Stephens

	1	2
			Watch
	1.35	3.05	Watch
	1.38	3.31
	1.33	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.38	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	3.12 ↑ (2.64)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diane Parry
69.6%

Sloane Stephens
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diane Parry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diane Parry's performance.

Sloane Stephens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sloane Stephens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diane Parry than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diane Parry that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloane Stephens than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sloane Stephens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Diane Parry - Sloane Stephens Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Diane Parry will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Parry is ranked WTA: 100. Stephens is ranked WTA: 401.

In recent matches, Parry has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stephens's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Parry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Parry could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Parry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diane Parry
WTA Rouen
14.04.26	Marta Kostyuk - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.26	Elvina Kalieva - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Diane Parry	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Madison Keys - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Diane Parry - Venus Williams	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW
- Sloane Stephens
WTA Rouen
13.04.26	Sloane Stephens - Veronika Podrez	0:2 ✺
WTA Linz
08.04.26	Mirra Andreeva - Sloane Stephens	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Sloane Stephens - Tatjana Maria	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston
30.03.26	Sloane Stephens - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
21.03.26	Qinwen Zheng - Sloane Stephens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
27.05.22	Sloane Stephens - Diane Parry	2:0

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