Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday


	Bernard Tomic		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.48	Watch
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	2.31	1.59	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.31	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.48)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
38.4%

Alexis Galarneau
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Bernard Tomic - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Galarneau will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 Sets - Tomic (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tomic (votes: 1 - 50%). Galarneau (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 214. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 162.

Two players are playing changeable.

Galarneau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Galarneau will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tomic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.65%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
01.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Bernard Tomic - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
27.03.25	Bernard Tomic - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Renzo Olivo - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWL
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
01.04.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.25	Alexis Galarneau - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Arthur Cazaux - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.10.24	Bernard Tomic - Alexis Galarneau	2:1
07.09.21	Alexis Galarneau - Bernard Tomic	2:0

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