Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia, hard - Final

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	James Duckworth		Dmitry Popko

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.4	2.81	Watch
	1.42	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.58)	2.85 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
67.1%

Dmitry Popko
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James Duckworth's performance.

Dmitry Popko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dmitry Popko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James Duckworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dmitry Popko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

James Duckworth - Dmitry Popko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Duckworth is ranked ATP: 95. Popko is ranked ATP: 245.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Duckworth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Duckworth will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Duckworth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Last Results with these Odds

Dmitry Popko - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.04%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
29.03.25	James Duckworth - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	James Duckworth - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	James Duckworth - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	James Duckworth - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.25	James Duckworth - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
29.03.25	Dmitry Popko - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Dmitry Popko - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Terence Atmane - Dmitry Popko	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Dmitry Popko - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.10.19	Dmitry Popko - James Duckworth	0:2

James Duckworth - Dmitry Popko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide