Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florence - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Florence 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Dmitry Popko		Daniele Rapagnetta

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Dmitry Popko
58.3%

Daniele Rapagnetta
41.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dmitry Popko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Daniele Rapagnetta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniele Rapagnetta than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Popko is ranked ATP: 495., and Rapagnetta is ranked ATP: 629..

In recent outings, Popko has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rapagnetta has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Rapagnetta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Popko holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dmitry Popko
ITF Tournaments
03.10.26	Stijn Paardekooper - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Matic Dimic - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Alessio Basile - Dmitry Popko	0:2
30.09.26	Andrea Fiorentini - Dmitry Popko	0:2
29.09.26	David Tixhon - Dmitry Popko	0:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWWW
- Daniele Rapagnetta
ITF Tournaments
13.10.26	Lorenzo Berto - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Daniel Siniakov - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Noah Lopez - Daniele Rapagnetta	Rapagnetta D. Retired ✺
29.09.26	Michael Savano - Daniele Rapagnetta	Savano M. Retired ✺
25.09.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LL??L

Dmitry Popko - Daniele Rapagnetta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide