Match Info

Date: 16 October 2020, Friday


	Dmitry Popko		Pedro Sousa

	1	2
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.03	1.67
	2.2	1.68
	2.15	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.92)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dmitry Popko
45.5%

Pedro Sousa
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dmitry Popko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Pedro Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dmitry Popko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Sousa than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Sousa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Dmitry Popko - Pedro Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Popko will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Sousa will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sousa: 51.5% – 86.9%.

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Sousa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sousa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
15.10.20	Goncalo Oliveira - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
12.10.20	Joao Menezes - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
08.10.20	Facundo Bagnis - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
06.10.20	Dmitry Popko - Nicola Kuhn	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.09.20	Emilio Gomez - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- Pedro Sousa
ATP Challenger
15.10.20	Hugo Grenier - Pedro Sousa	0:2 ✺
13.10.20	Gastao Elias - Pedro Sousa	1:2 ✺
06.10.20	Pedro Sousa - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
04.10.20	Pedro Sousa - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
03.10.20	Pedro Sousa - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.07.17	Pedro Sousa - Dmitry Popko	2:0

Dmitry Popko - Pedro Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide