Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Dominic Stephan Stricker		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.46	2.83
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.38	2.92	Watch
	1.54	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.54)	2.69 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominic Stephan Stricker
65.3%

Matej Dodig
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominic Stephan Stricker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dominic Stephan Stricker's performance.

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matej Dodig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Stephan Stricker than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dominic Stephan Stricker that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matej Dodig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	0%	20.8%

Dominic Stephan Stricker - Matej Dodig Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Stricker (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Dodig (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Users Predictions: Dominic Stephan Stricker will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stricker is ranked ATP: 247. Dodig is ranked ATP: 278.

Stricker is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dodig has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dodig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Stricker could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.63%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominic Stephan Stricker
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Emil Ruusuvuori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Matej Dodig - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Matej Dodig - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Matej Dodig - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLL?

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