Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BRATISLAVA 2 (SLOVAKIA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 12 October 2023, Thursday


	Dominic Thiem		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.61	2.37
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.54	2.36	Watch
	1.55	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.54)	2.33 ↓ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominic Thiem
59.8%

Gabriel Diallo
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Dominic Thiem - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Thiem will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Diallo will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thiem: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Thiem is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Diallo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Thiem could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Thiem will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominic Thiem
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Dominic Thiem - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
01.10.23	Dominic Thiem - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Marcos Giron - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
28.09.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Dominic Thiem - Ben Shelton	Thiem D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWW?
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Challenger
11.10.23	Gabriel Diallo - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Gabriel Diallo - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
25.09.23	Gabriel Diallo - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Gabriel Diallo - Tristan Lamasine	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group
16.09.23	Gabriel Diallo - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLL?L

Dominic Thiem - Gabriel Diallo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide