Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports Max
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Marcos Giron		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.78	2	Watch
	1.8	2.02
	1.82	2.1
	1.8	2
	1.73	2.11	Watch
	1.76	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.73)	2.06 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
53.7%

Dominic Thiem
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Dominic Thiem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Marcos Giron - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Thiem will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thiem: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Giron could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Giron won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Astana
28.09.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
23.09.23	Marcos Giron - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Alexander Bublik - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Marcos Giron - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Michael Mmoh - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLL
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Astana
28.09.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Dominic Thiem - Ben Shelton	Thiem D. retired ✺
28.08.23	Alexander Bublik - Dominic Thiem	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Dominic Thiem	Canceled ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
05.08.23	Sebastian Baez - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 W?W?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Gijon
12.10.22	Dominic Thiem - Marcos Giron	2:1
ATP Madrid
04.05.21	Dominic Thiem - Marcos Giron	2:0

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