Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Dominic Thiem		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.78	2
	1.82	2.01
	1.85	2.07
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.81	2	Watch
	1.8	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)	2.03 ↓ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominic Thiem
53.1%

Sebastian Ofner
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	0%	25.9%

Dominic Thiem - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Thiem will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Ofner will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thiem: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Thiem won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominic Thiem
ATP Astana
30.09.23	Marcos Giron - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
28.09.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Dominic Thiem - Ben Shelton	Thiem D. retired ✺
28.08.23	Alexander Bublik - Dominic Thiem	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Dominic Thiem	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WW?W?
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Astana
30.09.23	Sebastian Ofner - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Marton Fucsovics - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.23	Constant Lestienne - Sebastian Ofner	Ofner S. retired ✺
21.09.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Luca Nardi - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Estoril
04.04.23	Dominic Thiem - Sebastian Ofner	2:1
ATP Kitzbuhel
27.07.22	Sebastian Ofner - Dominic Thiem	1:2
Exhibition Pro Series Austria Men
08.06.20	Dominic Thiem - Sebastian Ofner	1:2
ATP Kitzbuhel
31.07.19	Dominic Thiem - Sebastian Ofner	2:0

Dominic Thiem - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide