Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Lyon (France), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Moore S. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3


	Dominik Koepfer		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.67	1.53
	2.67	1.54
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.54	Watch
	2.55	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.25)	1.52 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominik Koepfer
37.1%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominik Koepfer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominik Koepfer than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dominik Koepfer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Martin Etcheverry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Dominik Koepfer - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Martin Etcheverry will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Koepfer is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Etcheverry is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Etcheverry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Etcheverry will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominik Koepfer
ATP Lyon
22.05.24	Ugo Humbert - Dominik Koepfer	1:2 ✺
20.05.24	Dominik Koepfer - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:1 ✺
20.05.24	Dominik Koepfer - Brandon Nakashima	Canceled ✺
ATP Roma
13.05.24	Tommy Paul - Dominik Koepfer	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Dominik Koepfer - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WW?LW
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Lyon
22.05.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Seyboth Wild T. retired ✺
20.05.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
13.05.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Jaume Munar - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 ?WLWL

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