Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2024, Monday


	Tommy Paul		Dominik Koepfer

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.68	2.31
	1.68	2.32
	1.67	2.2
	1.65	2.26	Watch
	1.67	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	2.26 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
57.6%

Dominik Koepfer
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Dominik Koepfer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominik Koepfer than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Tommy Paul - Dominik Koepfer Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 21 - 70%). Koepfer will win (votes: 9 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 53.6% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Koepfer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paul will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Paul won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Tommy Paul - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Tommy Paul - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
26.04.24	Tommy Paul - Lukas Klein	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Tommy Paul - Martin Damm	Paul T. retired ✺
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.24	Tommy Paul - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLW?L
- Dominik Koepfer
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Dominik Koepfer - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
09.05.24	Dominik Koepfer - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Dominik Koepfer - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
16.04.24	Christian Garin - Dominik Koepfer	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Dominik Koepfer - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dallas
09.02.24	Dominik Koepfer - Tommy Paul	0:2
ATP Challenger
13.11.17	Tommy Paul - Dominik Koepfer	2:0
ITF Tournaments
05.03.17	Dominik Koepfer - Tommy Paul	2:1

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