Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Manila, hard - Final

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Donna Vekic		Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.47	2.49	Watch
	1.51	2.7
	1.42	2.79	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.48	2.58	Watch
	1.52	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.59)	2.55 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Donna Vekic
63.1%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Donna Vekic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Donna Vekic than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Donna Vekic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Camila Osorio Serrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Donna Vekic - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vekic will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Osorio Serrano will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Vekic (votes: 2 - 40%). Osorio Serrano (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vekic is ranked WTA: 72. Osorio Serrano is ranked WTA: 84.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vekic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Donna Vekic
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Tatiana Prozorova - Donna Vekic	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Donna Vekic - Lin Zhu	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Donna Vekic - Mariia Tkacheva	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Donna Vekic - Kyoka Okamura	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Donna Vekic - Mirra Andreeva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWL
- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Solana Sierra - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Alexandra Eala	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Mai Hontama	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Ann Li - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
13.08.22	Donna Vekic - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:0

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