Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Dusan Lajovic		Christian Garin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.79	1.92	Watch
	1.89	1.94
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.93	Watch
	1.79	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.6)	1.9 ↓ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
50.8%

Christian Garin
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dusan Lajovic's form might have worsened.

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christian Garin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dusan Lajovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christian Garin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Dusan Lajovic - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lajovic will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Garin will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lajovic (votes: 3 - 60%). Garin (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajovic is ranked ATP: 138. Garin is ranked ATP: 214.

Lajovic is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Garin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Garin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lajovic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Dusan Lajovic - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.1%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Roman Safiullin	Lajovic D. retired ✺
17.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 W?WWL
- Christian Garin
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Christian Garin - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.25	Tommy Paul - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Christian Garin - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.03.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cup
03.01.22	Dusan Lajovic - Christian Garin	Lajovic D. retired
ATP Challenger
31.03.18	Christian Garin - Dusan Lajovic	0:2
ATP Vina del Mar
05.02.13	Dusan Lajovic - Christian Garin	0:2

Dusan Lajovic - Christian Garin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide