Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag (Croatia), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Sport 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Sweden	TV4 Tennis


	Dusan Lajovic		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.34
	3.1	1.35	Watch
	3.39	1.37
	3.34	1.35	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.19	1.36	Watch
	3.15	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.95)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
29.7%

Lorenzo Musetti
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Dusan Lajovic - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lajovic will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Musetti will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lajovic: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Lajovic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Musetti is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lajovic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Musetti is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Musetti to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lajovic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Umag
24.07.24	Flavio Cobolli - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
22.07.24	Filip Misolic - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
17.07.24	Dusan Lajovic - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
16.07.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Dusan Lajovic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Umag
24.07.24	Marco Trungelliti - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
12.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
10.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	3:2 ✺
08.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	3:1 ✺
06.07.24	Francisco Comesana - Lorenzo Musetti	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
14.08.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Dusan Lajovic	2:0
ATP Hamburg
18.07.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Dusan Lajovic	2:1

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