Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Lyon, hard - Final

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lyon 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	14:45	SportKlub 2
Denmark	14:45	TV2 Play
Finland	15:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	14:45	beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	14:45	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	14:45	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	14:45	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	15:45	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 4
Slovenia	14:45	SportKlub 2
Sweden	14:45	TV4 Play
United Kingdom	13:45	Sky Sports Tennis


	Lorenzo Musetti		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.60	1.50
	2.6	1.47	Watch
	2.82	1.46	Watch
	2.8	1.47
	2.68	1.47	Watch
	2.6	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.7)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
35.5%

Taylor Harry Fritz
64.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Taylor Harry Fritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Fritz will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 26., and Fritz is ranked ATP: 14..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 4.

Both players are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Musetti could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Fritz is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Fritz in today's match, at odds of 1.49.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Musetti has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:9 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Taylor Harry Fritz - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.02%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Lyon
24.10.26	Flavio Cobolli - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
23.10.26	Luca Van Assche - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
21.10.26	Moise Kouame - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
19.10.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Yi Zhou - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Lyon
24.10.26	Tommy Paul - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
23.10.26	Daniel Altmaier - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
22.10.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
12.10.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
25.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	3:0
ATP World Tour Finals
10.11.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2
ATP Olympic Games
31.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
10.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	3:2
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0
Davis Cup World Group
24.11.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3

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