Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Andrei R. (Rou)


	Dusan Lajovic		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.45	2.8	Watch
	1.58	2.52
	1.57	2.54
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.61	Watch
	1.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)	2.59 ↑ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
63.1%

Thiago Monteiro
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dusan Lajovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Dusan Lajovic will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajovic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Monteiro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monteiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lajovic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lajovic won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Barcelona
20.04.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
19.04.24	Arthur Fils - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Dusan Lajovic - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Madrid
23.04.24	Radu Albot - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
22.04.24	Lucas Pouille - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Jaime Faria - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
03.04.24	Thiago Monteiro - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Thiago Monteiro - Bogdan Bobrov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
22.10.22	Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Monteiro	0:2
ATP Challenger
08.07.22	Thiago Monteiro - Dusan Lajovic	2:1
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.19	Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Monteiro	3:0
ATP Bastad
18.07.17	Thiago Monteiro - Dusan Lajovic	Lajovic D. retired
ATP Los Cabos
09.08.16	Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Monteiro	2:0

Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide