Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Girona, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Girona 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Dusan Lajovic		Timofey Skatov

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.49	2.46	Watch
	1.52	2.45	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.48	Watch
	1.49	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.69)	2.47 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
62.4%

Timofey Skatov
37.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dusan Lajovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dusan Lajovic's performance.

Timofey Skatov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Timofey Skatov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dusan Lajovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Timofey Skatov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Dusan Lajovic - Timofey Skatov Predictions

Users Predictions: Dusan Lajovic will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajovic is ranked ATP: 108. Skatov is ranked ATP: 175.

Recent matches Lajovic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Skatov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Skatov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lajovic will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Dusan Lajovic - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Dusan Lajovic - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Dusan Lajovic - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLL
- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Radu Albot - Timofey Skatov	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Timofey Skatov - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Timofey Skatov - Daniel Cukierman	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	Timofey Skatov - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Nerman Fatic - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Timofey Skatov	✺

Dusan Lajovic - Timofey Skatov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide