Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Edas Butvilas		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	1.98	1.74
	2.1	1.79
	1.72	1.96	Watch
	1.98	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.72)	1.8 ↓ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
47.9%

Luca Van Assche
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Edas Butvilas's form might have worsened.

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Edas Butvilas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Edas Butvilas - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Assche (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 300. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 238.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Butvilas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
16.10.25	Edas Butvilas - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Moez Echargui - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Edas Butvilas - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLLW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
16.10.25	Luca Van Assche - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Stefano Travaglia - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Filip Peliwo - Luca Van Assche	van Assche L. retired ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Luca Van Assche - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.07.25	Edas Butvilas - Luca Van Assche	2:0

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