Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Edas Butvilas		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
			Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.32	1.66
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.92)	1.67 ↓ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
43.9%

Joel Schwaerzler
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Edas Butvilas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Edas Butvilas - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Users Predictions: Joel Schwaerzler will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joel Schwaerzler will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 268. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 174.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Edas Butvilas - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Edas Butvilas - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Valentin Royer - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Edas Butvilas - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Joel Schwaerzler	Canceled ✺
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Stefan Horia Haita - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?LWLW

Edas Butvilas - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide