Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Luca Van Assche		Yibing Wu

	1	2
	3	1.36
	3.1	1.34
	3.11	1.35
	3.07	1.39
	2.89	1.39	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.04	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.32)	1.36 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
30.8%

Yibing Wu
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Van Assche's form might have worsened.

Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yibing Wu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yibing Wu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Luca Van Assche - Yibing Wu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Wu (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Yibing Wu will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yibing Wu will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Assche (votes: 1 - 20%). Wu (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Van Assche is ranked ATP: 207. Wu is ranked ATP: 178.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Wu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Dusan Lajovic - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.07.25	Edas Butvilas - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
20.07.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Marco Cecchinato - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLW
- Yibing Wu
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Yibing Wu - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.08.25	Yibing Wu - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Yibing Wu - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
04.08.25	Yibing Wu - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
24.07.25	Daniil Medvedev - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL

Luca Van Assche - Yibing Wu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide