Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Filip Peliwo		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	5.5	1.14	Watch
	4.25	1.18	Watch
	4.5	1.16	Watch
	4.88	1.19
	5.72	1.12	Watch
	4.5	1.17	Watch
	4.8	1.16	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (1.84)	1.25 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Filip Peliwo
21.7%

Luca Van Assche
78.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filip Peliwo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Filip Peliwo's form might have worsened.

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filip Peliwo than the current prediction. (+32.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Filip Peliwo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-32.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Filip Peliwo - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5 Games - Van Assche (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Filip Peliwo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Filip Peliwo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Peliwo (votes: 3 - 75%). Van Assche (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Peliwo is ranked ATP: 535. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 204.

Peliwo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Van Assche has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Peliwo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Van Assche is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Filip Peliwo - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filip Peliwo
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	James Watt - Filip Peliwo	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Luca Castelnuovo	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Luca Van Assche - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Dusan Lajovic - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.07.25	Edas Butvilas - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
20.07.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL

Upcoming Matches