Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Jacob Fearnley		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.51	2.63
	1.53	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.3)	2.53 ↓ (3.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
62.9%

Luca Van Assche
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jacob Fearnley's form might have worsened.

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Jacob Fearnley - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Van Assche will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Assche (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Van Assche (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Assche (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 80. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 201.

Fearnley is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, Fearnley is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Jacob Fearnley	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Jacob Fearnley	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Jacob Fearnley	3:0 ✺
26.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jacob Fearnley	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ??LWL
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Filip Peliwo - Luca Van Assche	van Assche L. retired ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Luca Van Assche - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Dusan Lajovic - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.07.25	Edas Butvilas - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LWLW

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