Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Edas Butvilas		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.69	2.2
	1.65	2.14	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)	2.18 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
57.2%

Max Alcala Gurri
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Edas Butvilas - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 261. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 417.

Recent performances by Butvilas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alcala Gurri is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Butvilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Butvilas could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Edas Butvilas - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Edas Butvilas - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Henri Squire - Edas Butvilas	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Otso Martikainen - Edas Butvilas	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Jaime Faria - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Giuseppe La Vela	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Pavel Petrov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.11.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Franco Agamenone	Alcala Gurri M. retired ✺
05.11.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Sergi Perez Contri	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Ioannis Xilas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WW?WL

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