Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 6, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Max Alcala Gurri		Ioannis Xilas

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	3.36	1.33
	3.12	1.33	Watch
	3.12	1.34	Watch
	4	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.12)	1.31 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Alcala Gurri
28.4%

Ioannis Xilas
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Max Alcala Gurri's form might have worsened.

Ioannis Xilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ioannis Xilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Alcala Gurri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ioannis Xilas than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ioannis Xilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Max Alcala Gurri - Ioannis Xilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Xilas will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Xilas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 421. Xilas is ranked ATP: 671.

Recent form of Alcala Gurri has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Xilas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Xilas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Xilas might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Xilas will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Alcala Gurri
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Nick Hardt	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Sergi Perez Contri	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Corentin Denolly	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Max Alcala Gurri	Giustino L. retired ✺
08.09.25	Franco Agamenone - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWL?L
- Ioannis Xilas
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Ioannis Xilas - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.10.25	Nino Ehrenschneider - Ioannis Xilas	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Ioannis Xilas - Luca Staeheli	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Ioannis Xilas - Alexander Vasilev	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Ioannis Xilas - Felix Balshaw	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW

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