Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Max Alcala Gurri		Giuseppe La Vela

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.88
	1.36	2.95	Watch
			Watch
	1.38	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)	2.85 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Alcala Gurri
67.3%

Giuseppe La Vela
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Alcala Gurri's performance.

Giuseppe La Vela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giuseppe La Vela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Alcala Gurri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giuseppe La Vela than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giuseppe La Vela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Max Alcala Gurri - Giuseppe La Vela Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcala Gurri (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Alcala Gurri (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcala Gurri (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 410. La Vela is ranked ATP: 656.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Alcala Gurri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alcala Gurri is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcala Gurri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.71%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Pavel Petrov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.11.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Franco Agamenone	Alcala Gurri M. retired ✺
05.11.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Sergi Perez Contri	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Ioannis Xilas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Nick Hardt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 W?WLL
- Giuseppe La Vela
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Giuseppe La Vela - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Giuseppe La Vela	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	John Sperle - Giuseppe La Vela	Sperle J. retired ✺
28.10.25	Giuseppe La Vela - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Giuseppe La Vela - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.03.24	Giuseppe La Vela - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2

Max Alcala Gurri - Giuseppe La Vela: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide