Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.51
	2.42	1.52
	2.38	1.53
	2.47	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.33)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
38.7%

Hugo Gaston
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Mikhail Kukushkin - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 266. Gaston is ranked ATP: 95.

Kukushkin is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gaston's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kukushkin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gaston will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kukushkin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Mikhail Kukushkin - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.85%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - George Loffhagen	Loffhagen G. retired ✺
18.02.26	Luca Van Assche - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Hynek Barton	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - James Kent Trotter	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 ?LWWW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Sebastian Ofner - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
08.02.26	Hugo Gaston - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Hugo Gaston - Alec Deckers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
27.06.24	Hugo Gaston - Mikhail Kukushkin	3:1

Mikhail Kukushkin - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide