Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Charlottesville - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Edward Winter		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
			Watch
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.17	1.61	Watch
			Watch
	2.01	1.74	Watch
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.57)	1.83 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edward Winter
48.4%

Maks Kasnikowski
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edward Winter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Edward Winter's form might have worsened.

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maks Kasnikowski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edward Winter than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Edward Winter, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maks Kasnikowski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Edward Winter - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Winter is ranked ATP: 463. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 551.

Winter is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kasnikowski has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Winter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Winter might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edward Winter
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Edward Winter - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Andre Ilagan - Edward Winter	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Edward Winter - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Marek Gengel - Edward Winter	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Olle Wallin - Edward Winter	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWWW
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Clement Tabur - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Filip Pieczonka - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Luca Potenza - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW

Edward Winter - Maks Kasnikowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide