Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Oeiras 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Eero Vasa		Mathys Erhard

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Eero Vasa
52.1%

Mathys Erhard
47.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eero Vasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eero Vasa than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vasa will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Erhard will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Vasa is ranked ATP: 474. Erhard is ranked ATP: 333.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Erhard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eero Vasa
ATP Challenger
25.01.26	Miguel Damas - Eero Vasa	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Eero Vasa	2:1 ✺
05.01.26	Eero Vasa - Arthur Reymond	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Eero Vasa - Adil Kalyanpur	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	Eero Vasa - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWL
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
25.01.26	Francisco Rocha - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Henri Squire - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tiago Cacao - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Mathys Erhard - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL

Eero Vasa - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide