Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Laura Siegemund

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.85	2.09
	1.8	2.01	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.83	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.45)	2.01 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
52.5%

Laura Siegemund
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ekaterina Alexandrova's form might have worsened.

Laura Siegemund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laura Siegemund's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ekaterina Alexandrova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laura Siegemund than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Laura Siegemund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	0%	64.7%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Laura Siegemund Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Siegemund will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Siegemund: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 14. Siegemund is ranked WTA: 46.

Alexandrova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Siegemund has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alexandrova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alexandrova won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Laura Siegemund - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.9%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Linda Noskova	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Gabriela Knutson	2:0 ✺
WTA Linz
09.04.26	Karolina Pliskova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
01.04.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Ekaterina Alexandrova	Canceled ✺
WTA Miami
22.03.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWL?L
- Laura Siegemund
WTA Roma
06.05.26	Laura Siegemund - Sara Bejlek	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
23.04.26	Laura Siegemund - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Laura Siegemund - Irina-Camelia Begu	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.26	Iga Swiatek - Laura Siegemund	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Laura Siegemund - Viktoriya Tomova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
30.08.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Laura Siegemund	2:0
WTA Australian Open
14.01.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Laura Siegemund	1:2
WTA Wimbledon
28.06.21	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Laura Siegemund	2:0
WTA Linz
10.10.19	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Laura Siegemund	2:1

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Laura Siegemund: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide