Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 29 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Grandstand (New York)


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Leylah Annie Fernandez

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.96	1.85
	1.97	1.88
	1.94	1.94
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.84	Watch
	1.98	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.8)	1.85 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
48.4%

Leylah Annie Fernandez
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Leylah Annie Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Leylah Annie Fernandez Predictions

Users Predictions: Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alexandrova is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fernandez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alexandrova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alexandrova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Cleveland
26.08.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Sara Sorribes Tormo	1:2 ✺
25.08.23	Lin Zhu - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
24.08.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Xin Yu Wang	2:1 ✺
23.08.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
21.08.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Yulia Putintseva	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWW?
- Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Cleveland
24.08.23	Tatjana Maria - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Clara Tauson	Fernandez L. retired ✺
20.08.23	Linda Noskova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
12.08.23	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Emma Navarro	1:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
10.08.23	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Danielle Collins	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
15.08.22	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2
WTA Adelaide
03.01.22	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2

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