Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Lilli Tagger

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.42	3.07
	1.4	2.88	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.44	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)	2.91 ↑ (2.53)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
67.2%

Lilli Tagger
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Lilli Tagger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lilli Tagger than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Lilli Tagger Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tagger will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tagger (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Tagger (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Tagger (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tagger (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 11. Tagger is ranked WTA: 115.

Recent form of Alexandrova has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tagger has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alexandrova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alexandrova might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Ekaterina Alexandrova - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Indian Wells
06.03.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Talia Gibson	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
17.02.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Magda Linette	1:2 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
07.02.26	Sara Bejlek - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Hailey Baptiste - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Lilli Tagger
WTA Miami
19.03.26	Lilli Tagger - Ella Seidel	2:1 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Maria Sakkari - Lilli Tagger	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Varvara Gracheva - Lilli Tagger	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Lilli Tagger	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Fangran Tian - Lilli Tagger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWLW

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