Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Maria Sakkari		Lilli Tagger

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.7	Watch
	1.53	2.66
	1.47	2.7	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.46	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.33)	2.72 ↓ (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Sakkari
65%

Lilli Tagger
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Sakkari's form might have worsened.

Lilli Tagger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilli Tagger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Sakkari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilli Tagger than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lilli Tagger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Maria Sakkari - Lilli Tagger Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sakkari will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Tagger will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tagger: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Tagger (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 Games - Tagger (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lilli Tagger will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Tagger (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakkari is ranked WTA: 34. Tagger is ranked WTA: 119.

Sakkari has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tagger is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tagger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sakkari might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Sakkari
WTA Dubai
16.02.26	Iva Jovic - Maria Sakkari	Canceled ✺
WTA Doha
13.02.26	Maria Sakkari - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Iga Swiatek - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Varvara Gracheva - Maria Sakkari	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 ?LWWW
- Lilli Tagger
WTA Indian Wells
05.03.26	Varvara Gracheva - Lilli Tagger	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Lilli Tagger	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Fangran Tian - Lilli Tagger	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Lilli Tagger - Darja Semenistaja	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Lilli Tagger - Eri Shimizu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW

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