Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Elena Rybakina		Emma Raducanu

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.56	2.4
	1.52	2.46	Watch
	1.57	2.56
	1.49	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.58	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.42)	2.51 ↓ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elena Rybakina
62%

Emma Raducanu
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elena Rybakina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Emma Raducanu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elena Rybakina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emma Raducanu than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emma Raducanu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.4%	0%	58.6%

Elena Rybakina - Emma Raducanu Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Rybakina will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Raducanu will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raducanu: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Raducanu (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Raducanu (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Raducanu (1.54) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Raducanu (votes: 9 - 69.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Rybakina is ranked WTA: 10. Raducanu is ranked WTA: 36.

Rybakina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Raducanu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Raducanu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rybakina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rybakina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elena Rybakina
WTA US Open
27.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Tereza Valentova	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Julieta Pareja	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW
- Emma Raducanu
WTA US Open
27.08.25	Emma Raducanu - Janice Tjen	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Emma Raducanu - Ena Shibahara	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Emma Raducanu	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Olga Danilovic - Emma Raducanu	0:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
01.08.25	Amanda Anisimova - Emma Raducanu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Sydney
11.01.22	Emma Raducanu - Elena Rybakina	0:2

Elena Rybakina - Emma Raducanu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide